colorado vs texas prediction and preview

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NCAAF colorado vs texas prediction and preview


 

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

 

The Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas is where the 20th-ranked Texas Longhorns will take on the Colorado Buffaloes in the 2020 Valero Alamo Bowl on December 29. The Longhorns ended their regular season prematurely, as their scheduled season finale with the Kansas Jayhawks was canceled due to a COVID-19 outbreak among Longhorns players. In their last game, on December 5, there were 100 points scored, as Texas defeated the Kansas State Wildcats by a score of 69-31. Colorado had their undefeated season spoiled in their final game of the season, dropping a 38-21 decision to the Utah Utes on December 12.

The Longhorns are 3-5-1 against the spread this season, while the total went over in six of their nine games. Texas covered the spread in their last game, as they were a seven-point favorite in their 38-point win over Kansas State. The Buffaloes are 4-1 against the spread, while the over-under is 3-2 this season. They failed to cover the spread for the first time in their five games in their season finale, as they were a 2.5-point underdog in their game versus Utah.

(Late line movements and injury reports were updated on Monday evening.)

Line Movements:

The line has moved in favor of the visiting team for this contest as the week has gone on. Texas opened as a 12.5-point favorite when the lines came out and, as of Monday evening, now stands as a 7.5 or 8.5-point favorite at the majority of sportsbooks for this contest. 54 percent of the bets ATS are backing the Buffaloes with the points as they look to earn the victory in the Alamo Bowl.

The total for this contest has moved up somewhat during this week. After opening at 62.5 points, the total has bumped up to 63.5 or 64 points, depending on your sportsbook of choice. A narrow majority, 55 percent, of the bets on the total are expecting this contest to end up falling short of the mark.

Game-time Weather: The Alamodome is a domed structure. That means 68 degrees, no winds and no precipitation in the forecast for the game.

 

Buffaloes drop season finale, lose perfect season

The Colorado Buffaloes won just five games last season (out of 12 games played), but they have the chance to equal that total in just a six-game season in 2020. They have not dominated teams this season, as their four wins have come by an average of 7.5 points per game, but they still won their first four games before losing their season finale to the Utah Utes, who ended the season at 3-2. This will be Colorado’s first appearance in a bowl game since the 2016 season, as they have had three straight 5-7 seasons before this season. At the end of the 2016 season, the Buffaloes, who were ranked 10th in the AP poll, also played in the Alamo Bowl, as they lost to 12th-ranked Oklahoma State by a score of 38-8.

 

Colorado entered their season finale as the 21st-ranked team in the country. The Buffaloes were only outgained by 55 yards in the game, but Utah held the ball for 36:11 of the game and rushed for nearly 200 yards. Quarterback Sam Noyer had his highest yardage game of the season, throwing for 258 yards, but he had his worst completion percentage of the season, as he completed just 47.1% of his passes. Jarek Broussard ran for a team-leading 80 yards, which was his worst game of the season. He rushed for 301 yards in their previous game.

“It was a disappointing game,” head coach Karl Dorrell said on espn.com. “Not quite the performance we were looking for.”

Noyer has completed 58.4% of his passes this season for 1,000 yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions. He has also rushed for a team-leading five touchdowns. Colorado has rushed for more yards than they have passed for this season, as they have 1,092 yards as a team. Broussard has 813 yards and three touchdowns on the ground this season. He is averaging 6.3 yards per game this season. La’Vontae Shenault leads the team with 17 catches this season, while Dimitri Stanley leads the team with 249 yards receiving.

The Buffaloes are outscoring their opponents by an average of 29.6-27.0. They are averaging 421.0 yards per game, while their opponents are averaging 376.8 yards per game. Colorado has the 18th-best running game in college football, averaging 218.4 yards per game on the ground.

Colorado Injury Report:

OUT: DE Antonio Alfano, RB Ashaad Clayton, RB Alex Fontenot, LB Nate Landman, OL Chance Lytle, WR Keith Miller III, TE Jared Poplawski, TE Brady Russell, WR La’Vontae Shenault, RB Deion Smith

Questionable: OL Kary Kutsch, QB Sam Noyer

 

Longhorns look to end season on a high note

The Texas Longhorns come into their bowl game as the 20th-ranked team in the country, but they have to wonder what might have been. They have lost three games this season by two points, three points, and eight points in quadruple overtime. A few break here or there, and they could be competing for a National Championship next month.

 

In what turned out to be their season finale, the Longhorns scored 69 points and had 608 total yards, 334 of which came on the ground. They also forced the only three turnovers in the game. Texas scored on 11 of their 14 possessions in the game. Running backs Bijan Robinson (172 yards, 19.1 yards per carry, three touchdowns) and Roschon Johnson (139 yards, 9.9 yards per carry, three touchdowns) combined for 311 yards rushing and six touchdowns to lead the Longhorns to the victory. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger was 20-27 for 274 yards and two interceptions in the game.

“I knew it would take time to learn to get a feel for the game,” Robinson said on espn.com. “It feels good to play so free and comfortable out there. The college game is a different speed and such good athletic ability it took some time to progress.”

For the season, Ehlinger has completed 60.1% of his passes for 2,406 yards, 25 touchdowns, and five interceptions. He has also rushed for 382 yards and a team-leading eight rushing touchdowns. Robinson leads the team with 520 yards rushing, while Brennan Eagles leads the receivers with 28 receptions for 469 yards. Joshua Moore leads the team with seven receiving touchdowns.

Texas is averaging 41.3 points per game this season, while they are giving up 29.1 points per game. The Longhorns have scored at least 59 points in three of their nine games this season. They are outgaining their opponents by an average of 457.3-409.7 this season.

Texas Injury Report:

OUT: LB Ayodele Adeoye, DL Marqez Bimage, DB Chris Brown, RB Derrian Brown, P Ryan Bujcevski, OL Samuel Cosmi, WR Brennan Eagles, DL Ta’quan Graham, WR Dajon Harrison, OL Isaiah Hoofkin, OL Derek Kerstetter, WR Kennedy Lewis, WR Troy Omeire, LB Joseph Ossai, DB Caden Sterns, OL Willie Tyler, RB Daniel Young

Questionable: DB Jahdae Barron, WR Kelvontay Dixon, DB Jalen Green, RB Keaontay Ingram, TE Jared Wiley





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