The TCU Horned Frogs will travel to Bill Snyder Family Stadium on Saturday afternoon to take on the Kansas State Wildcats in a Big 12 Conference matchup. The Horned Frogs are 3-4 (1-3) so far this season and are coming off a 29-17 home loss against the West Virginia Mountaineers. Junior quarterback Max Duggan struggled as he went 16-of-26 for 244 yards with a touchdown and a pair of interceptions. The Wildcats are 4-3 (1-3) thus far and are coming off a 25-24 road win over the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Senior quarterback Skylar Thompson finished going 24-of-30 for 296 yards and a touchdown.
These programs face off against one another once per season as they are Big 12 rivals as the Horned Frogs picked up a 21-14 road win early last season. Let’s take a deeper dive into the matchup to determine where we should be leaning here.
Duggan the End ZoneThe TCU Horned Frogs have been a solid passing team this season as they have junior quarterback Max Duggan under center. So far this season, he is 22nd in QBR listed at 73.1 thus far. He has completed 64.5 percent of his passes this season for 1,593 yards with 14 touchdowns and four interceptions through the air and 68 rushes for 258 yards (3.8 yards per attempt) with two touchdowns on the ground. In his last game against the West Virginia Mountaineers, he went 16-of-26 for 244 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. If he can cut down on the turnovers, it will be a great sign
The TCU Horned Frogs have been doing decently well this season as they are giving up 31.6 points per game. In their previous game against the West Virginia Mountaineers, they allowed 29 points on 487 total yards of offense (258 passing, 229 rushing). The Horned Frogs need to work on getting some stops as they allowed the Mountaineers to go 6-of-14 on third down and 1-of-2 on fourth down. They also need to limit the West Virginia running game as they averaged 5.6 rushing yards per attempt. If they can continue to improve defensively, it will do wonders for their team.
Seniority MattersThe Kansas State Wildcats have been throwing the ball pretty well with senior quarterback Skylar Thompson under center. So far this season, he has a 67.6 QBR with a completion percentage of 71.4 thus far with 1,062 yards with six touchdowns and three interceptions and he has 25 rushes for seven yards (0.3 yards per carry) with three rushing touchdowns. In his last game against Texas Tech, he finished going 24-of-30 for 296 yards with a touchdown through the air and seven runs for -6 yards (-0.9 yards per attempt). If they can continue to protect him in this game, they will be able to get completions.
The Kansas State Wildcats have been doing pretty well this season defensively as they are allowing 24.6 points per game this season. In their previous game against the Texas Tech Red Raiders, they gave up 24 points on 318 total yards of offense (148 passing, 170 rushing). The Red Raiders did a decent job of getting stops as they went 2-of-11 on third down and 3-of-5 on fourth down. The Red Raiders have been defending the run well as he has 4.6 rushing yards per run.
- Kansas State: Wildcats are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- TCU: Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- TCU: Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.