Twelfth-ranked Kentucky is coming off their first loss of the season and they hit the road in an SEC contest to face a Mississippi State team that has won two of their last three games.
While Kentucky lost their last game and it was not that close, they were on the road and faced top-ranked Georgia. It was a costly loss since they are in the same division as Georgia in the SEC. The Wildcats have a good run game and the team is led by a defense that is only giving up an average of 19.3 ppg.
Mississippi State has won two of their last three games and the first win in that span was on the road and beating a ranked Texas A&M team. Go figure, they beat Texas A&M, who beat Alabama, who throttled the Bulldogs in the game before their last one. While MSU ranks fourth in the nation in passing yards per game they are not a high scoring team and rank dead last in the nation only averaging 48.7 rushing yards per game.
Offensive WoesKentucky was on the road in their last game losing to #1 Georgia 30-13 where they only had 243 total yards. They only rushed for 51 yards while they gave up 166 rushing yards as well as 250 passing yards. The Wildcats could not get much going on offense even though they were 9/19 on third down and 2/2 on fourth down. UK covered the spread in the game as a 21.5-point underdog scoring a TD with only four seconds left.
Will Levis (1,326 yards 13 TD 6 INT) leads the Wildcats and he played pretty well in the win over Georgia going 32 for 42 for 192 yards with two TDs and no INT. he has five TDs and no picks over his last two games. Wan'Dale Robinson is by far his main target with 566 yards while the next leading WR only has 248 receiving yards. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is a huge weapon out of the backfield and his numbers are legit with 775 rushing yards averaging 6.1 yards per carry. He has to get over the last game where he was shut down, big time, but the Georgia defense to the tune of seven yards on seven carries. He will be facing another tough task in this game with an MSU-run defense that ranks 10th in the nation.
Crushing ItIn their last game, Mississippi State was on the road and laid a 45-6 beat down on Vanderbilt where they dominated on both sides of the ball. They racked up 522 yards and held the Commodores, who are in the basement of the SEC East, to only 155 yards including only nine, yes nine, rushing yards. Even in the blowout win, the Bulldogs were all about the pass with 461 passing yards and only 61 rushing yards.
MSU is led by sophomore QB Will Rogers (2,546 yards 18 TD 7 INT), who passed for 384 yards with four TDs and two INTs in the last game.
He has been picked off five times in his last two games. The Bulldogs have six players that have at least 221 receiving yards led by Makai Polk (552 yards 6 TD), who does not have more than 63 receiving yards in the last two games. Dillon Johnson leads the run game with only 207 rushing yards but he also has 231 receiving yards. Kentucky’s pass defense ranks a respectable 36th in the nation and they have a pretty good pass rush as well and that will be key in this game.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are:
- 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win
- 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games
- 5-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
The Kentucky Wildcats are:
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall
- 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games
- 20-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record