College football action on Saturday afternoon and we will see a pair of teams from the Southeastern Conference square off as the Missouri Tigers grapple with the Vanderbilt Commodores at Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. The Tigers center this game at 3-4 on the year while the Commodores come in nat 2-6. These teams met last year and Missouri won that game at home by a score of 41-0.
Tigers Look To Move To .500The Missouri Tigers have not had a good season overall, but they still have a shot at getting to the .500 mark when they face the worst team in the league. Missouri has had a couple of weeks to lick their wounds from a 35-14 home loss to Texas A&M at home. They are 3-4 overall, but 0-3 in league play. Getting to bowl eligibility could be tough as the Tigers still have Georgia, Florida, and Arkansas in three of their final four games. They have a home game against South Carolina mixed in there, so it looks like the best they can do is a 5-7 record, and that will not get them to a bowl game. The problem for Missouri has been a defense that ranks 126th in total yards allowed at 489.1 ypg and 123rd in ppg allowed at 37.1.
Their biggest weakness is a run defense that ranks 126th in the nation, allowing 287.4 ypg on the ground so far, and they gave up 283 yards rushing to Texas A&M two weeks ago. The good news is that Vandy has one of the worst rushing attacks in the nation. The offense hasn't been much of a problem for the Tigers as they come in ranked 32nd in total offense and 26th in scoring at 34.4 ppg. Their passing game has been strong as it ranks 21st in the nation and leading the way has been Connor Bazelak, who has thrown for 1912 yards with 12 TDs and seven INTs on the year. He threw for 318 yards with no TDs and no INTs against Vandy last year and he will be taking on one of the worst pass defenses in the nation in this one.
Another Long Season For The CommodoresThe Vanderbilt Commodores went 0-9 last year and while they already have two wins this season, it is turning into another long year for them. The Commodores have six losses on the season and their two wins were ver UConn and Colorado State. The Colorado State win was on the road and that was a shocker, but so was them getting beat at home by East Tennessee State. Vandy is not a good team and they have lost their three games against ranked foes by a combined score of 149-6. ouch. Luckily for them here, they are not playing a ranked team. Vandy has struggled on both sides of the ball, but more so on offense as they are last in the nation in scoring at 13.3 ppg. That will not get it done in any league.
The Commodores would love to get their ground game going against a bad Missouri run defense, but that will not be so easy as they are 121st in the nation in rushing. They had just nine yards rushing in their last game, which was a 45-6 home loss to Mississippi State. Vandy will need to throw the ball if they hope to keep this one close and that has not been easy either as they threw for just 46 yards against Miss State and they are ranked 103rd in the nation in that department. Ken Seals (1086 yards, 5 TDs, 7 INTs) missed the last two games and is questionable for this one. If he doesn't go, it will be Mike Wright that gets the nod and he has thrown for 423 yards with two YDs and three INTs on the year.
Vandy also has big issues on defense as they enter this game ranked 120th in total yards allowed at 459.3 ypg and 120th in scoring defense at 35.4 ppg. The defense could be in trouble in this one as they are 122nd in the nation against the pass and the Tigers have a solid passing game. It will be a long afternoon if the Commodores can't stop the pass, just like it was last week when they allowed 461 yards passing to the Bulldogs and lost by 39 points.
Trends Are Courtesy Of Covers.com Vanderbilt is:
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points
- 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record
- 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite